USDA SBR Forecast Last Updated: 10/6/2008 3:37 p.m. CDT
Current conditions 10/6: A front moving across the Central portion of the country is bringing wet weather to the eastern Great Plains and the Midwest. The majority of the eastern half of the country is mostly dry this afternoon. A stationary front over Florida continues to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms to the peninsula.

Risk Area: Because of a large high pressure system in the northern Great Lakes, transport will be possible as far north as Wisconsin. In addition, due to the cold front moving across the Central U.S, deposition and survival are probable from eastern Texas northward to southwestern Wisconsin. Deposition is also likely in Florida as mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers continue this afternoon because of a stationary front positioned over southern Florida.

1- to 2-day forecast for 10/7-10/8: The cold front moving across the country will move into the East over the next two days, bringing rain to the Midwest, Southeast, and Ohio River Valley. Dry air will settle in behind the front, bringing clear skies to areas west of the Mississippi River.

Risk Area: Transport will be significant as a strong high pressure off the mid-Atlantic seaboard induces winds from the south over the eastern half of the country. Deposition and survival will be probable in association with the cold front moving across the East over the next two days bringing cloud and rain to most of the region.

3- to 5-day forecast for 10/9-10/11: A disturbance over the Tennessee River Valley will drift southward around Thursday, bringing showers and storms to northern Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas. On Friday, the disturbance will begin to move up along the coast, bringing precipitation to Virginia, north through the Mid-Atlantic States and New England. The remainder of the South will observe generally clear and dry conditions for the remainder of the week as high pressure begins to move in from the west.

Risk Area: While there will be spore transport west of Georgia, it will mainly be confined to already infected areas and the lack of notable spore deposition and survival in the area will hinder any spread of the disease. From Georgia, north through the Carolinas and into Virginia, there will be a moderate risk for spore transport into the region coupled with deposition and survival through Saturday.

Visitors to www.sbrusa.net are encouraged to check the Observation and State Update screens on the Web site to follow the progress of sentinel plots and scouting in their local areas. Visitors are also encouraged to frequently consult the Forecast Outlook and Disease Management commentaries supplied by state soybean specialists (click on the small blue map on the right of the site, then click on the state of interest when the center map loads with the State Update map).

The storm name game: Updated 9/9/2008 -- Here's the list of tropical cyclone names for this year:
Arthur, Bertha, Christobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paloma, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, and Wilfred.

The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season produced 15 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. In 2006, there were 10 named tropical storms and one unnamed tropical cyclone, discovered during a post-season analysis.

Twenty-five named tropical cyclones occurred in the Atlantic basin in 2005 -- passing the previous record of 21 set in 1933. Additional storms (beyond the 21 people-named storms) in 2005 took their names from the Greek alphabet: Alpha, Beta, Gamma and Delta.

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