October 19, 2006

Welcome to the StopSoybeanRust.com Bulletin, your by-request weekly update on Asian soybean rust. Please forward this Bulletin to friends and colleagues, who can subscribe here to receive the Bulletin and our Rust Flash alerts. Past issues are archived here.
RUST FORECASTS

  • USDA SBR Forecast 10/18/2006: For 10/19-21, USDA says "All counties close to infected areas in the South as well as Illinois and Kentucky are at risk for soybean rust spread as southerly winds become steady and periods of rainfall enter the area." USDA is dropping back to one forecast a week.


  • NAPDFC forecast 10/18/2006: For Thursday, Strongly Moderate to HIGH Risk for susceptible plants in southeast TX, LA, southern MS, southern and central AL, and the FL western panhandle. Moderate Risk for northern FL, the eastern FL panhandle and southern and central GA. Weakly Moderate Risk for central, southern FL. Low Risk otherwise.


  • Last NAPDFC forecast is this Friday -- Center is closing. Full story.


    •
    NEW THIS WEEK

    + Soybean rust confirmed in 54 more counties last week, including 6 new states
    That puts the U.S. count up to 156 positive counties and parishes in a total of 14 U.S. states. Since Oct. 11, 2006, new infections of soybean rust have been reported in the six new states as follows: seven counties in Arkansas, seven counties in Illinois, two counties in Indiana, 13 counties in Kentucky, three counties in Missouri, two counties in Tennessee. New rust in already-positive states was found in three AL counties; one MS county; 10 NC counties; three SC counties and one TX county. Of the 156 positive counties, 132 are on soybeans. Last year at this time, there were only 73 counties in five states positive for soybean rust. (See comparison maps below.)

    See the stories below for details of some of the new finds since last week:

  • ALERT: First soybean rust ever hits seven counties in Arkansas 10/19/2006


  • ALERT: Indiana, Tennessee join states with soybean rust infections 10/18/2006


  • ALERT: Missouri finds first soybean rust of 2006, in Bootheel 10/17/2006


  • ALERT: First rust ever in Illinois found in Pope County soybeans 10/13/2006


  • ALERT: Soybean rust hits 7 KY counties, northernmost rust in U.S. 10/11/2006


    • With rust hitting this fast, you need a scorecard! Keep checking back on our Running Tally of 2006 Rust Finds

    The Bulletin has been sent to you by an educational grant from Bayer CropScience.

    Current USDA Soybean Rust Observation Map 10/19/2006

    Red counties are positive for rust. Total U.S. count in 2006 is 156 rust-positive counties and parishes in 14 states -- up 54 from 103 counties in eight states on 10/11 (last week). Current counts, with new states this week in bold, are: Alabama 13; Arkansas 7; Florida 18; Georgia 15; Illinois 7; Indiana 2; Kentucky 13; Louisiana 24; Mississippi 4;Missouri 2; North Carolina 23; South Carolina 21; Tennesee 3; Texas 4.







    Last Year's USDA Soybean Rust Observation Map 10/19/2005

    Last year as of 10/19/2005, total rust-infected counties were 73 in still only five states: Georgia 28; Florida, 22; Alabama, 16; South Carolina, 5; Mississippi, 2.











    Good of IL asks: How will producers, Congress respond to higher prices?
    Wheat, corn, and soybean prices, which have moved higher since mid-September, have implications for the production plans of farmers and perhaps for farm policy, Darrel Good said in his weekly outlook.
    Full story.

    NAPDFC announces it will end all forecast operations effective Friday
    Yesterday, the North American Plant Disease Forecast Center announced it will end its forecast operations for this year -- and evidently forever -- this Friday, Oct. 20, 2006.
    Full story.

    USDA: Soybean crop progress
    According to the USDA Crop Progress report released Monday, soybean harvest is 69 complete, up from 47 percent complete the week before. That's above the five-year average of 65 percent, but behind last year's total of 74 percent harvested at this point. No condition report was issued for the soybean crop.
    Source: USDA Crop Progress report for week ending Oct. 15, 2006.

    RUST RESOURCES


    + SOYBEAN RUST TRACKING CENTER
    Visit our SOYBEAN RUST TRACKING CENTER -- updated daily tracking new rust finds, tropical weather reports and maps, USDA and NAPDFC forecasts and commentary and other timely information.


    + Our StopSoybeanRust Running Tally of 2006 Rust Finds gives you a quick rundown of when and where rust has been found this year.

    + Our SOYBEAN APHID WATCH page gives latest USDA aphid observation map and a quick snapshot of soybean aphid sighting reports from state specialists as reported on www.sbrusa.net and University Web sites.

    + MAPS
  • Updated animation for 2006 showing progression of soybean rust via U.S. rust observation map changes, day-by-day, for all of 2005 and up through Oct.11, 2006.
  • Side-by-side comparison of '05 and '06 rust spread in U.S., through Oct. 12, 2006. Both animations are from Penn State's Computational Epidemiology and Aerobiology Lab.


    • + Posters requested for National Soybean Rust Symposium
    The organizers of the National Soybean Rust Symposium, Nov. 29-Dec. 1 in St. Louis, are requesting poster submissions for display at the event. Submission forms and abstracts are due by Nov. 1; see links below for information.
  • Poster submission form
  • Poster guidelines
  • Symposium program
  • *** Only 2 days left -- Oct. 20 is cutoff for early registration discount; fee goes from $130 to $150 from 10/21 to 11/10; $200 on or after 11/11 or onsite. Symposium registration form
  • Hotel information -- cutoff for discount rate at the Adam's Mark is Oct. 31, 2006.

    • + National and state rust hotlines and forecasts
  • USDA is cutting back to one forecast a week now weather and rust risk.
  • The North American Plant Disease Forecast Center (NAPDFC) has been providing soybean rust forecasts Mon., Wed. and Fri., based on eight potential source areas, now including western KY/southern IL/southeast MO/northwest TN. Forecasts will end this Friday (see related story earlier in this Bulletin.)
  • Alabama: Auburn University Soybean Rust Hotline for weekly updates is 1-800-446-0388.
  • Florida rust hotline toll-free nationwide at 1-866-361-9942
  • Mississippi hotline for soybean rust at 1-800-516-0865, sponsored by BASF and the Mississippi Soybean Promotion Board.
  • Tennessee hotline for soybean rust at 1-877-875-2326.
  • Kentucky now updating its hotline daily at 1-888-321-6771.
  • See our Soybean Rust Hotline List in the SOYBEAN RUST TRACKING CENTER.

    • + Our RSS Feature: Use the "XML" button next to the Top Stories heading on our home page to have our news sent to your Web page or RSS news gatherer.

    + E-mail, print, search stories with ease
    Every story on StopSoybeanRust.com has a link to let you pass along information with "E-mail a friend." And make any story "Printer Friendly" with one quick click. Find the information you need in our extensive Archives, where more than 980 articles and past Bulletins tell the story of soybean rust in the U.S. from our site's launch Nov. 1, 2004, to today. The site is totally searchable -- just type any keyword, name or date (use slashes, i.e. 9/12/2006) into the search window, always visible in the left-hand column of the site.


    First -- and most accurate -- with today's soybean rust news.

    Thank you for relying on StopSoybeanRust.com -- the original and most authoritative soybean rust source, day in and day out. We value your questions, suggestions, story tips and comments.

    Marilyn Cummins
    Editor
    Click here to e-mail editor

    Our Mission

    The mission of StopSoybeanRust.com is to provide soybean growers, agricultural retailers, crop consultants and all those concerned with the health of the U.S. soybean crop with the No. 1 trusted source on the Web for the latest news, resources and training available to help combat soybean rust. StopSoybeanRust.com was the first objective, independent news and educational site up and ready to serve you when Asian soybean rust arrived in November, 2004.

    The editor of StopSoybeanRust.com and the full editorial staffs of Successful Farming, Agriculture Online, AgProfessional magazine and Greenbook.net contribute top news and analysis to this collaborative effort. We also partner with the Crop Adviser Institute, at Iowa State University, and with the United Soybean Board through the soybean checkoff. The Bulletin has been sent to you by an educational grant from Bayer CropScience.
    To unsubscribe to this publication, just reply to this message
    and put "unsubscribe" somewhere in the subject line.

    StopSoybeanRust.com
    10901 W. 84th Terr.
    Lenexa, KS 66214