October 11, 2006

Welcome to the StopSoybeanRust.com Bulletin, your by-request weekly update on Asian soybean rust. Please forward this Bulletin to friends and colleagues, who can subscribe here to receive the Bulletin and our Rust Flash alerts. Past issues are archived here.
RUST FORECASTS

  • USDA SBR Forecast 10/10/2006: For 10/10-11, USDA says Increasing clouds, rainfall and moderate southerly winds will make conditions favorable for soybean rust spread in eastern TX and adjacent counties of infected regions in SC. For tomorrow thru Fri., Increased risk is expected for eastern TX, LA and southern MS due to heavier periods of rainfall, onshore flow and limited sunshine early in the period.


  • NAPDFC forecast 10/9/2006: For Tuesday, Moderate Risk to susceptible plants in southeast TX, LA, eastern AR, western and northern MS, northern AL, western and central KY, and all of TN. Low Risk otherwise. New forecast due late today, 10/11.


    •
    NEW THIS WEEK

    + Soybean rust confirmed in 15 more counties and parishes in the past week
    That puts the U.S. over the 100 mark, to 103 positive counties and parishes. Not quite the increase of 18 we saw the week before that, but still a fast pace compared to last year. Since Oct. 5, 2006, new infections of soybean rust have been reported in five parishes in Louisiana, three counties each in Alabama and Florida, two counties in Georgia and one county each in Mississippi and North Carolina. Total U.S. counties with rust: 103 in eight states, 82 of those on soybeans -- compared to an overall total of 69 counties in five states at this point last year. (See comparison maps below.)

    See the stories below for details of the new finds:

  • ALERT: More soybean rust found in FL, LA soybeans 10/10/2006


  • ALERT: More soybean rust on soybeans, kudzu in GA, NC 10/7/2006


  • Ten new counties, parishes with soybean rust since Wednesday 10/6/2006


    • For a quick update anytime, see our Running Tally of 2006 Rust Finds

    The Bulletin has been sent to you by an educational grant from Bayer CropScience.

    Current USDA Soybean Rust Observation Map 10/10/2006

    Red counties are positive for rust. Total U.S. count in 2006 is 103 rust-positive counties and parishes in eight states: Alabama 10; Florida 18; Georgia 15; Louisiana 23; Mississippi 3; North Carolina 13; South Carolina 18; Texas 3.









    Last Year's USDA Soybean Rust Observation Map 10/11/2005

    Last year as of 10/11/2005, total rust-infected counties were 69 in still only five states: Florida, 22; Georgia, 21; Alabama, 15; South Carolina, 4; Mississippi, 2. (None yet in Louisiana, North Carolina or Texas.)











    Good of IL asks: Does crop size even matter to the market?
    Typically, the USDA's October production forecast would be the dominant price factor during harvest and into the winter months, said Darrel Good in his Weekly Outlook on Monday. This year, however, "demand considerations have become extremely important."
    Full story.

    Entomologists in Illinois, Ohio say soybean aphids massing on buckthorn
    The soybean aphid may be back in full force throughout Midwest soybean fields in 2007, based on how many are laying eggs and getting ready to overwinter on buckthorn.
  • Ohio State predicts high soybean aphid numbers in 2007 10/10/2006

  • Experts say soybean aphids massing on buckthorn in Midwest U of IL, 10/5/2006


    • New soybean rust guide for the Mid-Atlantic region now online
    There's a new publication on Asian soybean rust -- "Soybean Rust Management in the Mid-Atlantic Region."
    Full story.

    USDA: Soybean crop progress -- Harvest catches up with 5-year average
    According to the USDA Crop Progress report released Monday, soybean harvest progress increased from jumped from 19 percent complete last week to 47 percent complete this week. That's equal to the five-year average, but 9 points behind last year at this time. The percentage dropping leaves increased to 95 percent, up from 87 percent last week and ahead of the five-year average of 93 percent. The only change in the crop rating from last week was a again a one-point increase from good (now 44 percent) to excellent (now 18 percent). Other ratings remained 25 percent fair, 9 percent poor and 4 percent very poor.
    Source: USDA Crop Progress report for week ending Oct. 8, 2006.

    RUST RESOURCES


    + SOYBEAN RUST TRACKING CENTER
    Visit our SOYBEAN RUST TRACKING CENTER -- updated daily tracking new rust finds, tropical weather reports and maps, USDA and NAPDFC forecasts and commentary and other timely information.


    + Our StopSoybeanRust Running Tally of 2006 Rust Finds gives you a quick rundown of when and where rust has been found this year.

    + Our SOYBEAN APHID WATCH page gives latest USDA aphid observation map and a quick snapshot of soybean aphid sighting reports from state specialists as reported on www.sbrusa.net and University Web sites.

    + MAPS
  • Updated animation for 2006 showing progression of soybean rust via U.S. rust observation map changes, day-by-day, for all of 2005 and up through Oct. 4, 2006.
  • Side-by-side comparison of '05 and '06 rust spread in U.S., through Oct. 5, 2006. Both animations are from Penn State's Computational Epidemiology and Aerobiology Lab.


    • + Posters requested for National Soybean Rust Symposium
    The organizers of the National Soybean Rust Symposium, Nov. 29-Dec. 1 in St. Louis, are requesting poster submissions for display at the event. Submission forms and abstracts are due by Nov. 1; see links below for information.
  • Poster submission form
  • Poster guidelines
  • Symposium program
  • *** Only 10 days left -- Oct. 20 is cutoff for early registration discount; fee goes from $130 to $150 from 10/21 to 11/10; $200 on or after 11/11 or onsite. Symposium registration form
  • Hotel information -- cutoff for discount rate at the Adam's Mark is Oct. 31, 2006.

    • + National and state rust hotlines and forecasts
  • USDA supplies expanded forecasts for the Southeast, reporting on current weather conditions, and then forecasting weather and rust risk out 1-2 days and out 3-5 days.
  • The North American Plant Disease Forecast Center (NAPDFC) gives soybean rust forecasts Mon., Wed. and Fri., based on seven potential source areas, now including eastern NC.
  • Alabama: Auburn University Soybean Rust Hotline for weekly updates is 1-800-446-0388.
  • Florida rust hotline toll-free nationwide at 1-866-361-9942
  • Mississippi hotline for soybean rust at 1-800-516-0865, sponsored by BASF and the Mississippi Soybean Promotion Board.
  • Tennessee hotline for soybean rust at 1-877-875-2326.
  • Kentucky now updating its hotline daily at 1-888-321-6771.
  • See our Soybean Rust Hotline List in the SOYBEAN RUST TRACKING CENTER.

    • + Our RSS Feature: Use the "XML" button next to the Top Stories heading on our home page to have our news sent to your Web page or RSS news gatherer.

    + E-mail, print, search stories with ease
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    Marilyn Cummins
    Editor
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