September 6, 2006

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RUST FORECASTS

USDA SBR Forecast 9/4/2006: For 9/5-6, USDA says disturbed weather will migrate southward through eastern TX and parts of western LA. A front pushing slowly east through the Carolinas will keep the shower risk high. An increase in rust risk is expected across east TX and western LA as showers and thunderstorms develop, light-to-moderate winds come from the southeast and sunshine remains limited. Risk will also stay high in eastern and central GA and SC due to continued showers. New forecast due out late today (9/6).

NAPDFC forecast 9/1/2006: For Mon. and Tues., conditions in and around the known sources were expected to be mostly unfavorable to mixed. Long-range transport and deposition not anticipated. Short-range transport near the source regions possible, though risk levels will not be in the upper categories. No forecast on Labor Day; new forecast due out late today.

Tropical Weather Update 10 p.m. CDT 9/5/2006: Tropical Storm Florence, sixth named storm of the season, is expected to strengthen as it heads WNW at 12 mph -- on track for the E coasts of FL and GA if it survives and remains on this course the next few days (see map). At 10 p.m. CDT, the storm's center was about 895 mi. E of the Northern Leeward Islands.

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The Bulletin has been sent to you by an educational grant from Bayer CropScience.

Latest USDA Soybean Rust Observation Maps 9/5/2006
Red counties are positive for rust. Total positive county count in 2006 is 38 in seven different states.

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Good of IL: Can the soybean crop be as good as it looks?
The soybean market apparently expects a larger production forecast on Sept. 12, Darrel Good of the University of Illinois said Tuesday in his Weekly Outlook.
Full story.

OSU ag engineer Ozkan to demo spray techniques for rust, drift control
Spray drift may be the No. 1 concern of pesticide applicators, but there are ways to minimize the problem while still getting effective control of pests such as soybean rust and soybean aphids.
Full story.

Colo. State hurricane team now predicts only 13 named Atlantic storms this season
The hurricane forecast team at Colorado State continues to downgrade its 2006 forecast for the Atlantic basin based on changing climate signals and below-average activity in the first third of the season.
Full story.

Late summer good time to check soybean field agronomic issues
Monitoring soybean fields now for agronomic issues, such as brown stem rot, soybean cyst nematode (SCN), Phytophthora root rot, iron chlorosis, white mold and sudden death syndrome (SDS), will help growers make better soybean seed selections for 2007, Pioneer Hi-Bred says.
Full story.

USDA: Soybean crop progress
Dropping leaves: 13 percent, up from 7 percent last week and even with 13 percent a year ago. Five-year average is 12 percent. Condition: Only change from last week was a one point shift from good to excellent -- still totaling 59 percent good excellent; fair unchanged at 27 percent. Poor-very poor unchanged at 14 percent. Last year, only 54 percent was good-excellent at this point in the season.
Source: 9/5/2006 USDA Crop Progress report for week ending Sept. 3, 2006.

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